We see the kinship of this model with the sociological model explaining that often they are put together. In the literature, spatial theories of voting are often seen as one of the main developments of the last thirty years which has been precisely the development of directional models since the proximity model dates back to the 1950s. Misalignment creates greater electoral volatility that creates a change in the party system that can have a feedback on the process of alignment, misalignment or realignment. As the authors of The American Voter put 1948, Berelson et . voters who follow a systematic vote are voters who are willing to pay these information or information-related costs. Four questions can be asked in relation to this measure: For the first question, there are several studies on the fact that partisan identification is multi-dimensional and not just one-dimensional. The system in the United States is bipartisan and the question asked was "Do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat or otherwise? Political scientists have defined several models of voter behavior in an attempt to explain the different motivations of voters: Rational choice theory describes someone voting in their best interest, supporting the candidate whose platform will give them the most favorable outcomes. From this point of view, parties adopt political positions that maximize their electoral support, what Downs calls the median voters and the idea that parties would maximize their electoral support around the center of the political spectrum. Finally, in a phase of misalignment, this would be the economic model, since there is a loss of these partisan loyalties, so these voters become more and more reactive to political events and therefore may be more rational in their decision-making process. Several studies show that the impact of partisan identification varies greatly from one context to another. p. 31). All of these factors and their relationships have to be taken into account, but at the centre is always the partisan attachment. In the psychological approach, the information problem is circumvented by the idea of the development of partisan identification, which is an emotional shortcut that voters operate. This identification with a party is inherited from the family emphasizing the role of primary socialization, it is reinforced over time including a reinforcement that is given by the very fact of voting for that party. This model emphasizes the role of integration into social groups. There are two important issues in relation to the spatial theory of voting. This idea of an issue was not invented by the proponents of the economic model of voting but was already present in the psycho-sociological model. The personality model highlights the importance of childhood experiences for political behavior and belief in adulthood; the sociological model highlights the importance of primary and interest . It can be defined as lasting feelings of attachment that individuals develop towards a certain party. This has created a research paradigm which is perhaps the dominant paradigm today. Comparative Political Studies, 27(2), 155189. Voters who vote against the party with which they identify keep their partisan identification. There are several reasons that the authors of these directional models cite to explain this choice of direction with intensity rather than a choice of proximity as proposed by Downs. Political Behaviour: Historical and methodological benchmarks, The structural foundations of political behaviour, The cultural basis of political behaviour, PEOPLE'S CHOICE: how the voter makes up his mind in a presidential campaign, https://doi.org/10.1177/000271624926100137, https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414094027002001, https://baripedia.org/index.php?title=Theoretical_models_of_voting_behaviour&oldid=49464, Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-SA 4.0). The idea of the directional model, and this applies to both the simple directional model and the intensity directional model, is that voters basically cannot clearly perceive the different positions of political parties or candidates on a specific issue. Prospective voting is based on election promises and retrospective voting is based on past performance. Voting is an act of altruism. The first question is how to assess the position of the different parties and candidates, since we start from the idea of projecting voters' political preferences and party projections onto a map. The psycho-sociological model, also known as the Michigan model, can be represented graphically or schematically. carried out by scholars at Columbia. Three notions must be distinguished: a phase of political alignment (1), which is when there is a strengthening of partisan loyalties, i.e. Prospective voting says that the evaluation is based on what the parties and candidates are going to say. These authors have tried to say that the different explanatory theories of the vote can be more or less explanatory in the sense of having more or less importance of explanatory power depending on the phases in which one is in a process of alignment and misalignment. For example, a strongly conservative voter who votes Democratic may vote Republican because he or she feels more in tune with the party. There has been a lot of criticism that has allowed the idea of issue voting to develop in a rationalist context and models. What we are interested in is on the demand side, how can we explain voters' electoral choice. how does partisan identification develop? Ideology is to be understood as a way of simplifying our world in relation to the problem of information. It is the idea of when does one or the other of these different theories provide a better explanation according to periods of political alignment or misalignment. The strategies and shortcuts are mainly used by citizens who are interested in going to vote or in an election but who do not have a strong preference beforehand. Political parties can make choices that are not choices to maximize the electorate, unlike spatial theories, where parties seek to maximize their short-term electoral support in an election. The term "group" can mean different things, which can be an ethnic group or a social class. A third possible answer is that they will vote for the candidate whose political ideas are closest to their own. Psychological theories are based on a type of explanation that does not focus on the issues discussed during a political campaign, for example. He wanted to look for one thing and found something else. The idea is that there is something easier to evaluate which is the ideology of a party and that it is on the basis of this that the choice will be made. Basically, Downs was wrong to talk about proximity logic and to explain some of the exceptions to the proximity model. Ecological regression represents one extreme: the presumption that voting behavior changes systematically across groups but only changes randomly, if at all, within groups. It is by this configuration that May tries to explain this anomaly which is due to the fact that there is a group of voters who become activists within the party and who succeed in shifting the party's positioning towards the extremes. The strategic choices made by parties can also be explained by this model since, since this model postulates an interdependence between supply and demand, we address the demand but we can also address the supply. From the parties' perspective, this model makes different predictions than the simple proximity model, which made a prediction of convergence of a centripetal force with respect to party positioning. There is this curvilinear disparity because the three actors position themselves differently. A distinction is made between the sociological model of voting from the Columbia School, which refers to the university where this model was developed. Voting requires voters to know the candidates' positions on issues, but when there are several candidates or several parties, it is not very easy for some voters in particular. the translation of personal preference into a voluntary action designed to influence public policy There are several responses to criticisms of the proximity model. A distinction is made between the sociological model of voting from the Columbia School, which refers to the university where this model was developed. By finding something else, he shaped a dominant theory explaining the vote. Bakker, B. N., Hopmann, D. N., & Persson, M. (2014). In their view, ideology is a means of predicting political positions on a significant number of issues and also a basis for credible and consistent engagement by the party or candidate that follows it. In the literature, we often talk about the economic theory of voting. This study presents an automated and accurate . One important element of this model must be highlighted in relation to the others. In other words, when we are interested in trying to explain the vote, we must already know what type of voter we are talking about. This is an alternative way which is another answer to the question of how to evaluate the position of different parties and candidates. It is also often referred to as a point of indifference because there are places where the voter cannot decide. While in the United States, several studies have shown that partisan identification is an important explanatory power on electoral choice, in other contexts this is less true. The Logics of Electoral Politics. In the Downs-Hirschman model, the vote is spatial in the sense of proximity and preferences are exogenous; on the other hand, in the directional theories of Rabinovirz and Macdonal in particular, we remain in the idea of the exogeneity of preferences but the vote is not spatial in the sense of proximity. the difference in the cost-benefit ratio that different parties give. A second possible answer is that they will vote for the candidate who belongs to the party with which they identify. Property qualifications. The psycho-sociological model is intended as a development that wants to respond to this criticism. The theory of the economic model of the vote is also a model that allows predictions to be made about party behaviour. Due to the internet of behaviors (IoBe) information, user-specific recommendations can be customized in various fields such as trade, health, economy, law, and entertainment. 0000002253 00000 n
Otherwise, our usefulness as voters decreases as a party moves away, i.e. In the study of electoral behaviour, there is a simple distinction between what is called prospective voting and retrospective voting. This theory is not about the formation of political preferences, they start from the idea that there are voters with certain political preferences and then these voters will look at what the offer is and will choose according to that offer. In directional models with intensity, there are models that try to show how the salience of different issues changes from one group to another, from one social group to another, or from one candidate and one party to another. We have seen that at Downs, the role of ideology is fundamental and that ideology could function as a kind of shortcut. This model explains for Downs why we abstain. For the sociological model we have talked about the index of political predisposition with the variables of socioeconomic, religious and spatial status. This creates a concern for circularity of reasoning. The individual is subjectivity at the centre of the analysis. "i.e., if it is proximity, it is 'yes', otherwise it is 'no' and therefore directional; 'are the preferences of the actors exogenous? Most voters have a sense of allegiance to a party that is inherited through the family. There has also been the emergence of empirical criticisms which have shown that the role of partisan identification has tended to decrease sharply and therefore an increase in the role of the issues and in particular the role of the cognitive evaluation that the actors make in relation to certain issues. There are also studies that show that the more educated change less often from one party to another. Some people talk about membership voting for the first two theories and cognitive voting for the economic model of voting. They find that partisan identification becomes more stable with age, so the older you get, the more partisan identification you have, so it's much easier to change when you're young. Lazarsfeld's book created this research paradigm. We must also take into account other socializing agents that can socialize us and make us develop a form of partisan identification. It is a small bridge between different explanations. There are also external factors that also need to be considered, such as the actions of the government, for example, voters are influenced by what the government has done. The concept and measurement of partisan identification as conceived by these researchers as applying to the bipartite system and therefore needs to be adapted to fit the multiparty and European system. This model predicts a convergence of party program positions around two distinct positions, there are two types of convergence. How does partisan identification develop? 0000001124 00000 n
The starting point is that there is a congruence of attitudes between party leaders and voters due to the possibility of exit for voters when the party no longer represents them (exit). In other words, in this retrospective assessment, the economic situation of the country plays a crucial role. as a party's position moves away from our political preferences. In the Michigan model, the idea of stakes was already present but was somewhat underdeveloped, and this perspective on the role of stakes in the psychosocial model lent itself to both theoretical and empirical criticism from proponents of rationalist models. Has the partisan identification weakened? Numbers abound, since we have seen that, in the end, both models systematically have a significant effect. The organization is in crisis and no longer reflects our own needs. There has been the whole emergence of the rational actor, which is the vote in relation to issues, which is not something that comes simply from our affective identification with a party, but there is a whole reflection that the voter makes in terms of cost-benefit calculations. These are models that should make us attentive to the different motivations that voters may or may not have to make in making an electoral choice. It is in this sense that the party identification model provides an answer to this criticism that the sociological model does not highlight the mechanisms that make a certain social inking influence a certain electoral choice. One of the merits, which can be found in Lazarsfeld's book entitled The People's Choice published in 1944 is that this model marks a turning point in the study of political behaviour. This is the idea of collective action, since our own contribution to an election or vote changes with the number of other citizens who vote. The Columbia County Supervisor of Elections strives to provide reasonable accomodations to help people with disabilities have an equal opportunity to participate on our website. The economic model of the vote puts the notion of electoral choice back at the centre. The role of the media and campaigns simplifies information by summarizing it. There are different types of individuals who take different kinds of shortcuts or not, who vote systematically or not, and so on. The theoretical account of voting behavior drew heavily upon the metaphor of a 'funnel of causality'. If someone positions himself as a left-wing or right-wing voter, the parties are positioned on an ideological level. These are some of the criticisms and limitations often made by proponents of other approaches. Voters try to maximize the usefulness of the vote, that is, they try to vote for the party that makes them more satisfied. In both The People's Choice (Lazarsfeld et al., 1944) and Voting (Berelson et al., 1954), the authors The initial formulation of the model is based on the Downs theory in An Economic Theory of Democracy publi en 1957. Therefore, they cannot really situate where the different parties stand. Numerous studies have found that voting behavior and political acts can be "contagious . In this way, parties can offer relatively extreme political platforms that are not optimal in the short term, but that generate higher levels of support in the medium and long term. Fiorina also talks about partisan identification, that is to say that there is a possible convergence between these different theories. It is multidimensional also in the bipartisan context of the United States because there are cleavages that cut across parties. Three Models of Voting Behavior. The choice of candidates is made both according to direction but also according to the intensity of positions on a given issue. Many researchers have criticised the Downs proximity model in particular. The aspect is based on the idea that there is an information problem that represents a difficulty and costs that voters must pay to gather information and to become informed about an election. This is the basic motivation for the development of these directional models. 0000001213 00000 n
There is in fact the idea that the choices and preferences of voters in the centre will cause the parties, since they are aiming in this model, to try to maximize their electoral support. Applied to the electorate, this means no longer voting for one party and going to vote for another party. Among these bridges, one of the first bridges between the psycho-sociological voting theory and the rationalist theories was made by Fiorina because he considers partisan identification to be an important element in explaining electoral choice. It is no longer a question of explaining "why" people participate but "how", that is, in terms of voter turnout, what choice is made and what can explain an electoral choice. While Downs said that there are parties that take positions on issues, the voter has difficulty with this inferring a position on a left-right axis. It is a moment when social cleavages directly influence the vote in this approach and therefore the sociological model, perhaps, at that moment, better explains the vote. [8][9], The second very important model is the psycho-sociological model, also known as the partisan identification model or Michigan School model, developed by Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes in Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes, among others in The American Voter published in 1960. There is no real electoral choice in this type of explanation, but it is based on our insertion in a social context. States because there are different types of individuals who take different kinds of or. Integration into social groups for example ethnic group or a social context is inherited through the family States there... Theory explaining the vote puts the notion of electoral behaviour, there are types! Found something else on election promises and retrospective voting two theories and cognitive voting for development. 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